16 Jul · 11:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VZ
🇺🇦Vitaliy Zharskiy
ELO 1589
FormWWLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Zharskiy
RK
🇺🇦Roman Konkulovskyi
ELO 1527
FormLLWLL
57%
43%
🌟Zharskiy stays under total as favourite 62% (48)
Fair odds · Zharskiy
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 69% · 1.46· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+62
H2H46-30
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+62)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (46-30)