16 Jul · 08:45 MESZLow · Coin Flip
TS
🇺🇦Tomas Stejskal
ELO 1448
FormLLLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Hanacek
JH
🇺🇦Josef Hanacek
ELO 1448
FormWWWWW
50%
50%
🌟Hanacek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 21% (48)
Fair odds · Hanacek
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+0
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.