16 Jul · 08:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VZ
🇺🇦Vitaliy Zharskiy
ELO 1589
FormWWLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Zharskiy
IS
🇺🇦Ihor Sukovatyi
ELO 1578
FormLLLWL
51%
49%
🌟Zharskiy stays under total as favourite 62% (48)
Fair odds · Zharskiy
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+11
H2H14-21
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.