16 Jul · 06:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
IF
🇺🇦Illia Fokin
ELO 1441
FormWWWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Fokin
YS
🇺🇦Yuriy Shcherbak
ELO 1404
FormLLWLL
54%
46%
🌟Fokin rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (39)
Fair odds · Fokin
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+37
H2H9-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.