16 Jul · 10:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
IF
🇺🇦Illia Fokin
ELO 1441
FormWWWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Melnyk
YM
🇺🇦Yuriy Melnyk
ELO 1472
FormWWWLW
47%
53%
🌟Fokin covers set handicap as underdog 62% (16)
Fair odds · Melnyk
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 44% · 2.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+31
H2H6-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.