16 Jul · 07:45 MESZLow · Coin Flip
TS
🇺🇦Tomas Stejskal
ELO 1448
FormLLLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Plyska
OP
🇺🇦Oleh Plyska
ELO 1459
FormLWWLL
49%
51%
🌟Plyska rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (53)
Fair odds · Plyska
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+11
H2H8-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.