16 Jul · 10:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OM
🇺🇦Oleh Miklukha
ELO 1445
FormWLWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Miklukha
SS
🇺🇦Sergii Skhabitskiy
ELO 1419
FormLLWLL
53%
47%
🌟Miklukha goes over total as favourite 70% (27)
Fair odds · Miklukha
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 28% · 3.62· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+26
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.