16 Jul · 06:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DP
🇺🇦Dmytro Ponomarenko
ELO 1416
FormLLLLL
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Syksa
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Syksa
ELO 1568
FormWWWLW
34%
66%
Fair odds · Syksa
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~74 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
18%
3-2
13%
3-1
12%
Elo Gap+152
H2H4-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+152)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-0)