16 Jul · 07:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PK
🇺🇦Petr Kolesnik
ELO 1579
FormWLLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Torianyk
OT
🇺🇦Oleh Torianyk
ELO 1626
FormLLWLL
45%
55%
🌟Kolesnik rarely covers set handicap as underdog 37% (19)
Fair odds · Torianyk
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~79 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+47
H2H39-34
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+47)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (39-34)