16 Jul · 08:15 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MH
🇺🇦Michael Hasman
ELO 1460
FormWLLWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Hasman
OP
🇺🇦Oleh Plyska
ELO 1459
FormLWWLL
50%
50%
🌟Plyska covers set handicap as underdog 62% (77)
Fair odds · Hasman
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~73 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+1
H2H0-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.