16 Jul · 08:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DP
🇺🇦Dmytro Ponomarenko
ELO 1416
FormLLLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Kuzmenko
DK
🇺🇦Dmitro Kuzmenko
ELO 1482
FormLWWWL
43%
57%
Fair odds · Kuzmenko
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+66
H2H2-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+66)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)