16 Jul · 06:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VZ
🇺🇦Vitaliy Zharskiy
ELO 1589
FormWWLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Pohonov
OP
🇺🇦Oleksandr Pohonov
ELO 1628
FormWWLWW
46%
54%
🔥 Underdog lean · Zharskiy🌟Pohonov rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (128)
Fair odds · Pohonov
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+39
H2H12-18
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.