16 Jul · 10:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PS
🇺🇦Pavlo Shulhachyk
ELO 1599
FormLWWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Shulhachyk
PK
🇺🇦Petr Kolesnik
ELO 1579
FormWLLLL
52%
48%
🌟Kolesnik rarely covers set handicap as underdog 37% (19)
Fair odds · Shulhachyk
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+20
H2H1-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.