16 Jul · 08:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DT
🇺🇦Dmytro Tsys
ELO 1583
FormWWWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Tsys
PK
🇺🇦Petr Kolesnik
ELO 1579
FormWLLLL
50%
50%
🌟Kolesnik rarely covers set handicap as underdog 37% (19)
Fair odds · Tsys
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+4
H2H8-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.