16 Jul · 09:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MS
🇺🇦Michal Snizek
ELO 1460
FormLWWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Holub
MH
🇺🇦Martin Holub
ELO 1501
FormLWLLW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Holub
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~73 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+41
H2H18-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.