16 Jul · 07:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RK
🇺🇦Roman Konkulovskyi
ELO 1527
FormLLWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Romanenko
AR
🇺🇦Andrii Romanenko
ELO 1573
FormWLWLW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Romanenko
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+46
H2H31-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+46)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (31-13)