16 Jul · 08:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MK
🇺🇦Mykhailo Khalenko
ELO 1444
FormLLLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Khalenko
SS
🇺🇦Sergii Skhabitskiy
ELO 1419
FormLLWLL
53%
47%
🌟Khalenko stays under total as favourite 78% (23)
Fair odds · Khalenko
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 35% · 2.82· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+25
H2H1-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.