16 Jul · 11:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TH
🇺🇦Tomas Holomek
ELO 1448
FormWLLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Seeman
JS
🇺🇦Jan Seeman
ELO 1500
FormWWWWL
45%
55%
🌟Seeman goes over total as favourite 64% (22)
Fair odds · Seeman
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+52
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+52)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)