17 Jul · 10:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
ND
🇺🇦Nazar Danyliuk
ELO 1815
FormWWLWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Danyliuk
AM
🇺🇦Anton Molochko
ELO 1726
FormWLLWW
59%
41%
Fair odds · Danyliuk
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
19%
3-0
18%
1-3
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+89
H2H111-106
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+89)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (111-106)