17 Jul · 08:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
ND
🇺🇦Nazar Danyliuk
ELO 1815
FormWWLWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Hryban
VH
🇺🇦Vadym Hryban
ELO 1872
FormLWWLL
44%
56%
🌟Danyliuk covers set handicap as underdog 69% (52)
Fair odds · Hryban
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+57
H2H63-36
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+57)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (63-36)