17 Jul · 06:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
OZ
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ziakun
ELO 1492
FormLWWWW
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Chuhai
SC
🇺🇦Serhii Chuhai
ELO 1706
FormWLLLL
29%
71%
🌟Ziakun covers set handicap as underdog 65% (94)
Fair odds · Chuhai
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 55%Total ~73 pts
0-3
30%
1-3
25%
2-3
16%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+214
H2H11-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+214)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-6)