17 Jul · 07:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AR
🇺🇦Andrii Regush
ELO 1555
FormLWWLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Chaikovskyi
BC
🇺🇦Bohdan Chaikovskyi
ELO 1640
FormWWWWL
41%
59%
🔥 Underdog lean · Regush🌟Chaikovskyi rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (54)
Fair odds · Chaikovskyi
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~74 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+85
H2H16-19
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+85)