17 Jul · 10:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
VK
🇺🇦Vitalii Krokhmal
ELO 1487
FormWLLLL
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Chaikovskyi
BC
🇺🇦Bohdan Chaikovskyi
ELO 1640
FormWWWWL
34%
66%
🌟Chaikovskyi rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (54)
Fair odds · Chaikovskyi
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~73 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
18%
3-2
13%
3-1
12%
Elo Gap+153
H2H9-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+153)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-6)