17 Jul · 11:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SP
🇺🇦Serhii Ponomarenko
ELO 2157
FormWWWWW
90%Win chancemodel fair 1.11Ponomarenko
DK
🇺🇦Dmytro Kryshtal
ELO 1638
FormWLLWL
90%
10%
Fair odds · Ponomarenko
Model 90% · 1.11vsMarket 89% · 1.12· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 79%Total ~65 pts
3-0
52%
3-1
26%
3-2
12%
2-3
5%
1-3
3%
Elo Gap+519
H2H84-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+519)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (84-6)