17 Jul · 09:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
ND
🇺🇦Nazar Danyliuk
ELO 1815
FormWWLWW
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Danyliuk
VV
🇺🇦Vasily Verbyany
ELO 1641
FormLLLLL
68%
32%
Fair odds · Danyliuk
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~76 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
24%
3-2
19%
2-3
12%
1-3
12%
Elo Gap+174
H2H118-50
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+174)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (118-50)