17 Jul · 06:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AM
🇺🇦Anton Molochko
ELO 1726
FormWLLWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Molochko
BK
🇺🇦Bohdan Kohut
ELO 1668
FormLWWLW
56%
44%
🌟Molochko goes over total as favourite 64% (77)
Fair odds · Molochko
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+58
H2H72-28
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+58)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (72-28)