17 Jul · 07:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OC
🇺🇦Ondrej Chadima
ELO 1570
FormWWWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Chadima
ZK
🇺🇦Zdenek Kuksa
ELO 1553
FormLWWLL
52%
48%
🌟Kuksa covers set handicap as underdog 70% (30)
Fair odds · Chadima
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~73 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+17
H2H11-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.