17 Jul · 07:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
IH
🇺🇦Iurii Hrekh
ELO 1567
FormWLWLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Hrekh
VK
🇺🇦Vitalii Krokhmal
ELO 1487
FormWLLLL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Hrekh
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+80
H2H23-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+80)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (23-13)