17 Jul · 08:50 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DN
🇺🇦Dmytro Neborak
ELO 1448
FormLLLLL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Bondarchuk
OB
🇺🇦Oleksandr Bondarchuk
ELO 1577
FormWWLWW
37%
63%
🌟Bondarchuk goes over total as favourite 64% (33)
Fair odds · Bondarchuk
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~76 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+129
H2H55-29
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+129)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (55-29)