17 Jul · 06:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
GK
🇺🇦Gregory Kuzmenko
ELO 1556
FormLWLLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Chaikovskyi
BC
🇺🇦Bohdan Chaikovskyi
ELO 1640
FormWWWWL
41%
59%
🌟Chaikovskyi rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (54)
Fair odds · Chaikovskyi
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~74 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+84
H2H18-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+84)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-7)