17 Jul · 09:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SP
🇺🇦Serhii Ponomarenko
ELO 2157
FormWWWWW
86%Win chancemodel fair 1.16Ponomarenko
RH
🇺🇦Roman Horokh
ELO 1740
FormLWLLW
86%
14%
Fair odds · Ponomarenko
Model 86% · 1.16vsMarket 79% · 1.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 72%Total ~66 pts
3-0
45%
3-1
27%
3-2
13%
2-3
7%
1-3
5%
Elo Gap+417
H2H191-32
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+417)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (191-32)