17 Jul · 06:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DK
🇺🇦Dmytro Khairov
ELO 1526
FormWLLWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Kovshun
YK
🇺🇦Yaroslav Kovshun
ELO 1586
FormLWWWW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Kovshun
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+60
H2H36-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+60)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (36-7)