17 Jul · 07:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OK
🇺🇦Oleh Karpenko
ELO 1565
FormLLWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Karpenko
AT
🇺🇦Andrey Troyan
ELO 1521
FormWLLLL
55%
45%
Fair odds · Karpenko
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+44
H2H27-29
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+44)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)