17 Jul · 09:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
YV
🇺🇦Yurii Volkov
ELO 1601
FormLLWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Volkov
AK
🇺🇦Andrii Kotiash
ELO 1577
FormLWWLW
53%
47%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kotiash
Fair odds · Volkov
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+24
H2H7-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.