17 Jul · 09:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OZ
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ziakun
ELO 1492
FormLWWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Syksa
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Syksa
ELO 1570
FormWWWLL
42%
58%
🌟Ziakun covers set handicap as underdog 65% (94)
Fair odds · Syksa
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+78
H2H49-21
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+78)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (49-21)