17 Jul · 07:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SA
🇺🇦Serhii Aristarkhov
ELO 1683
FormWWLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Aristarkhov
MH
🇺🇦Maksym Hubenko
ELO 1614
FormLWWLW
57%
43%
Fair odds · Aristarkhov
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+69
H2H21-20
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+69)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (21-20)