17 Jul · 12:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
OZ
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ziakun
ELO 1492
FormLWWWW
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Aristarkhov
SA
🇺🇦Serhii Aristarkhov
ELO 1683
FormWWLWL
31%
69%
🌟Ziakun covers set handicap as underdog 65% (94)
Fair odds · Aristarkhov
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 76% · 1.31· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~76 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
19%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+191
H2H21-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+191)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (21-4)