17 Jul · 12:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AM
🇺🇦Andrii Martyniuk
ELO 1542
FormWWLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Martyniuk
AT
🇺🇦Andrey Troyan
ELO 1521
FormWLLLL
52%
48%
🌟Martyniuk goes over total as favourite 70% (20)
Fair odds · Martyniuk
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 47% · 2.11· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+21
H2H6-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.