17 Jul · 08:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SP
🇺🇦Serhii Ponomarenko
ELO 2157
FormWWWWW
90%Win chancemodel fair 1.11Ponomarenko
IS
🇺🇦Igor Shyndel
ELO 1636
FormWLLWW
90%
10%
Fair odds · Ponomarenko
Model 90% · 1.11vsMarket 91% · 1.10· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 79%Total ~67 pts
3-0
52%
3-1
26%
3-2
12%
2-3
5%
1-3
3%
Elo Gap+521
H2H41-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+521)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (41-3)