17 Jul · 09:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SK
🇺🇦Serhii Kushnirenko
ELO 1589
FormLWLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Shyndel
IS
🇺🇦Igor Shyndel
ELO 1636
FormWLLWW
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kushnirenko
Fair odds · Shyndel
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+47
H2H9-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+47)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-7)