17 Jul · 12:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MV
🇺🇦Martin Vorel
ELO 1498
FormLWLLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Vorel
JH
🇺🇦Josef Hanacek
ELO 1415
FormLLLLW
59%
41%
🔥 Underdog lean · Hanacek🌟Vorel rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (66)
Fair odds · Vorel
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+83
H2H2-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+83)