17 Jul · 12:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JJ
🇺🇦Jakub Dufek Jnr
ELO 1552
FormWWWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Jnr
JK
🇺🇦Julius Krejcik
ELO 1515
FormLWWWL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Jnr
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+37
H2H1-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.