17 Jul · 07:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DN
🇺🇦Dmytro Neborak
ELO 1448
FormLLLLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Kozachuk
IK
🇺🇦Ivan Kozachuk
ELO 1530
FormLLWWL
41%
59%
🌟Kozachuk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (55)
Fair odds · Kozachuk
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+82
H2H12-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+82)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-1)