17 Jul · 11:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
OZ
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ziakun
ELO 1492
FormLWWWW
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Kasyanov
AK
🇺🇦Artem Kasyanov
ELO 1718
FormWWWWW
28%
72%
🔥 Underdog lean · Ziakun🌟Kasyanov rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (32)
Fair odds · Kasyanov
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~73 pts
0-3
30%
1-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-2
11%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+226
H2H7-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+226)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-2)