17 Jul · 09:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SS
🇺🇦Serhii Solomko
ELO 1545
FormLWWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Solomko
AT
🇺🇦Andrey Troyan
ELO 1521
FormWLLLL
53%
47%
🌟Solomko stays under total as favourite 66% (73)
Fair odds · Solomko
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 35% · 2.82· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+24
H2H5-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.