17 Jul · 14:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JK
🇺🇦Julius Krejcik
ELO 1515
FormLWWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Krejcik
MH
🇺🇦Martin Holub
ELO 1501
FormWLLWL
51%
49%
🌟Holub covers set handicap as underdog 63% (41)
Fair odds · Krejcik
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 71% · 1.42· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+14
H2H2-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.