17 Jul · 07:15 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MU
🇺🇦Miloslav Ullman
ELO 1455
FormLWWLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Adam
LA
🇺🇦Lukas Adam
ELO 1546
FormLWWWL
40%
60%
🌟Adam rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (42)
Fair odds · Adam
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~75 pts
1-3
23%
2-3
19%
0-3
18%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+91
H2H7-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+91)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-5)