17 Jul · 09:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DZ
🇺🇦Dmytro Zeniuk
ELO 1607
FormWWWLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Zeniuk
IK
🇺🇦Ivan Kozachuk
ELO 1530
FormLLWWL
58%
42%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kozachuk🌟Kozachuk stays under total as underdog 65% (91)
Fair odds · Zeniuk
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+77
H2H38-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+77)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (38-15)