17 Jul · 11:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
SA
🇺🇦Serhii Aristarkhov
ELO 1683
FormWWLWL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Aristarkhov
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Syksa
ELO 1570
FormWWWLL
62%
38%
Fair odds · Aristarkhov
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~76 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
22%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+113
H2H15-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+113)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-13)