17 Jul · 11:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JJ
🇺🇦Jakub Dufek Jnr
ELO 1552
FormWWWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Jnr
MH
🇺🇦Martin Holub
ELO 1501
FormWLLWL
55%
45%
🌟Holub covers set handicap as underdog 63% (41)
Fair odds · Jnr
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+51
H2H23-31
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+51)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)